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Poll: Rahall has sizeable lead over Maynard

Oct. 04, 2010 @ 12:00 AM

One month before the general election, Congressman Nick Rahall, D-W.Va., holds a commanding 25-point lead over Republican challenger Spike Maynard in the race for the U.S. House of Representatives, according to a poll of West Virginia residents by Anzalone Liszt Research.

The fundamentally Democratic nature of the state's 3rd District works in Rahall's favor and limits Maynard's ability to benefit from national political trends, the research organization said in a press release. With sufficient resources to continue his strong paid communication campaign, Rahall is well-positioned to win re-election, the release said.

Results from the study suggest 59 percent of district residents favor Rahall, while 34 percent favor Maynard. About 7 percent indicated they were undecided.

According to the study, Rahall leads among men and women, self-identified Independents, registered Independents, and in both the Charleston-Huntingdon media market and the Bluefield-Beckley-Oak Hill media market.

The study suggested that Maynard's "unfavorable" rating is 10 points higher than his "favorable" rating (30 percent favorable, and 40 percent unfavorable).

"Maynard still carries scars from his controversial tenure on the State Supreme Court, his 2008 re-election loss, and the aggressiveness of the Rahall campaign thus far," the press release said.

Regarding the 3rd District, Democrats hold a 31-point advantage in self-identification there, and nearly 60 percent of voters identify themselves as Democrats (59 percent Democrats, versus 29 percent GOP and 12 percent Independents). Democrats hold an advantage of nearly 3:1 in party registration (69 percent Democrat, 24 percent GOP and 7 percent other.

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